top of page


Iran: Toward the Rule of the Guardsman
from the rule of the jurisprudent (Velayat-e Faqih) to the rule — in-practice of the guardsman.
Mar 88 min read


Iran's Multi-Theater Retaliation and What It Means for Israel
Tehran's most dangerous weapon is not a missile - it is a message, and it is aimed directly at Trump's base.
Mar 312 min read


Iran’s Priority: Regime Survival at Any Cost
Coercion, Control, and Deterrence: Iran’s Strategy to Withstand Internal Unrest and External Threats
Jan 229 min read


Tehran’s Containment Strategy: Managing Domestic Unrest and Deterring a U.S./Israeli Strike
Iran is threatening regional escalation to deter a U.S./Israeli strike, warning neighbors they will be treated as combatants.
At home, it is crushing protests via a total blackout and framing unrest as foreign terrorism to justify repression.
Jan 146 min read


Khamenei’s Strategy Toward Israel: From Planning to October 7
Khamenei frames the war as advancing the Resistance Front’s mission to dismantle and ultimately eliminate Israel.
Aug 9, 20258 min read


Managed Discord: Iran’s Strategic Use of Internal Debate to Lure the West
Iran’s “Internal Debate” Is a Strategic Illusion Aimed at Preserving the Regime’s Revolutionary Trajectory
Jul 24, 20257 min read
bottom of page