The SAS (سازمان اطلاعات سپاه) has launched a multi-dimensional "hybrid" crackdown focused on digital infiltration, cognitive manipulation, and the use of double agents to dismantle protest networks.

Coercion, Control, and Deterrence: Iran’s Strategy to Withstand Internal Unrest and External Threats

Iran is threatening regional escalation to deter a U.S./Israeli strike, warning neighbors they will be treated as combatants. At home, it is crushing protests via a total blackout and framing unrest as foreign terrorism to justify repression.

The regime’s priority is survival: it is likely to intensify coercion while managing optics and blame to reduce the risk of a US-Israel intervention trigger.

Iran’s media has branded protesters as foreign-backed terrorists to justify a crackdown. Tehran’s prosecutor is invoking moharebeh (a death-eligible charge)

The Iranian regime will not hesitate to apply maximum coercive power to suppress the protest

Iran refuses Hezbollah disarmament, viewing its weapons as vital for Lebanon’s defense and regional anti-Israel strategy.

Khamenei frames the war as advancing the Resistance Front’s mission to dismantle and ultimately eliminate Israel.

Houthi Missiles, Iranian Signatures: A Rising Threat to Israel, the U.S., and Global Trade Routes

Iran faces global condemnation for terrorism and hostage diplomacy, yet remains unlikely to change its strategy.

Iran attempts to rebuild its air defenses under constraints, relying on domestic systems amid absent Russian suppor

Iran, frustrated by Russian inaction, pivots toward China to secure military, economic, and nuclear advancement

Iran turns war losses into nationalist revival, yet awakened civic identity could undermine clerical rule long-term.

Jaish al-Adl Strikes Iranian Forces in Chabahar: A Renewed Wave of Insurgency in Sistan and Baluchestan

Another BRICS in the wall of war—Iran rebuilds power through resistance, retaliation, and anti-Western alliances

Iran’s top Hamas liaison Izadi assassinated

IRGC Declaration Summarizing the 12-Day War: Expelling America from the Region and Destroying the Zionist Regime"

Iran lost top missile commander and 35 air defense personnel in Israeli strikes

A shift in Israeli strategy to simultaneously target both the physical infrastructure of the program and the scientists who are centers of knowledge.

No Security Without Full Rollback of Iran’s Nuclear Program